Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.061066 2.347471 2.658630 3.021721 3.433742 3.886741 4.422588
2025-10-12 1.610874 2.000159 2.459813 3.042334 3.760822 4.618066 5.718915
2025-10-19 1.399995 1.844852 2.401093 3.147173 4.121560 5.351058 7.021229
2025-10-26 1.205846 1.668985 2.276097 3.129395 4.297509 5.840844 8.036370
2025-11-02 1.060747 1.532291 2.176354 3.119149 4.463624 6.312273 9.049500
2025-11-09 0.930033 1.396183 2.056853 3.059961 4.543923 6.658715 9.904390
2025-11-16 0.849242 1.320467 2.011221 3.095537 4.754145 7.196043 11.068014
2025-11-23 0.781618 1.255585 1.972419 3.132972 4.964004 7.742206 12.282398
2025-11-30 0.712201 1.179682 1.907783 3.121280 5.092282 8.168558 13.340125
2025-12-07 0.643012 1.096479 1.822682 3.066738 5.143700 8.473125 14.221962
2025-12-14 0.580646 1.017906 1.736948 3.001360 5.168203 8.730985 15.040969
2025-12-21 0.530798 0.955404 1.671489 2.962470 5.230600 9.051084 15.982947
2025-12-28 0.522017 0.967148 1.738880 3.168626 5.749846 10.213943 18.530128
2026-01-04 0.483056 0.921650 1.703697 3.193229 5.957684 10.868332 20.264413
2026-01-11 0.460913 0.904216 1.715946 3.303051 6.326520 11.834771 22.643986
2026-01-18 0.423708 0.854038 1.662642 3.284410 6.453278 12.369834 24.268463
2026-01-25 0.391545 0.810088 1.616374 3.273663 6.591995 12.935637 25.997599
2026-02-01 0.356871 0.757347 1.547739 3.211578 6.623008 13.295840 27.353732
2026-02-08 0.336436 0.731587 1.529783 3.248895 6.854644 14.063977 29.588365
2026-02-15 0.317983 0.708009 1.513796 3.288162 7.092675 14.862789 31.953382
2026-02-22 0.296277 0.675134 1.475291 3.275898 7.220713 15.446431 33.917917
2026-03-01 0.272608 0.635469 1.418579 3.218686 7.246465 15.817638 35.459094
2026-03-08 0.250214 0.596370 1.359379 3.150107 7.240310 16.118788 36.871131